Summary
- There is a distinction between “accession integration” and “becoming European,” and Kyiv should treat accession integration as a possible means for becoming European, not as an end in itself.
- Becoming European would be a huge challenge for Ukraine under the best of circumstances, and these are far from the best of circumstances.
- The European project is in crisis, which not only makes accession integration all the more difficult for Ukraine but also reduces its benefits.
- It is unrealistic for Ukraine to expect to join the EU anytime soon.
- Joining the EU is neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for Ukraine becoming European.
- NATO already has a serious security problem with Russia, and it is not going to want to make that problem worse by offering membership to Ukraine.
- It is unrealistic for Ukraine to expect to join NATO anytime soon.
- Joining NATO is not a necessary condition for deterring further Russian aggression.
- To become European, Ukraine is eventually going to have to improve relations with Russia.